Politics by the Numbers

I started posting bits of data analysis related to contemporary politics at my old blog early in the 2008 primary season but have been relatively inactive since the 2008 election. This space is intended to pick up where the old blog left off, though hopefully on a less sporadic basis.

Monday, November 2, 2020

DeSart/Holbrook Model

In case you missed it before, I'm posting a link to the DeSart/Holbrook forecasting model . Props to Jay DeSart, who has kept this updated over the years.

Here's the bottom line, if you don't want to read the deets (but you should read the deets):




Posted by Tom Holbrook at 12:38 PM
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2020 State-level Forecast

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Links

  • PollingReport.com
  • Pollster.com
  • Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
  • Taegan Goddard's Political Wire
  • The Monkey Cage
  • VOTAMATIC

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